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ITB in Berlin - Cruise numbers from Germany and new ships to come

Von
Each year at ITB, the world biggest travel fair, new numbers for destinations and trends in the travel industry are published. 
by Earl of Cruise
The coming SCENIC ECLIPSE of SCENIC CRUISES
The coming SCENIC ECLIPSE of SCENIC CRUISES - courtesy SCENIC CRUISES
After his irrational attacs against Europe, to herd his people behind his back, to get a democratic cover, becoming the dictator of Turkey, Erdogan and his tourism minister have to realise that 58% less German tourist will come in 2017 to Turkey after a tremendous loss in 2016 ... Similar numbers are known from other European countries.

I dare say, each one traveling into Turkey today is supporting an irrational street urchin. You better travel to other destinations. And cruise lines should drop ports of embarkation in Turkey. Not only because of security reasons.

I love that country and the people, but actually it is hard to stay calm hearing the "Reis" (Führer/comander) crying out his irratic speeches and accusations. And as if brainless, the sheep are following ... George Orwell´s 1884 is coming to my mind ...
There is another trend to be mentioned. German travellers are demanding more for more luxurious destinations, hotels and in general luxurious offers.This trend is to be seen in other source markets too. Hotels and cruise lines react, e.g. SCENIC CRUISES, SILVERSEA, CRYSTAL CRUISES and CARNIVAL´s "wannabe´s" offer SEABURN.

Back to cruises!
The most choosen travel destinations worldwide
The most choosen travel destinations worldwide - Source: DRV
The rise of German cruise passenger numbers
The rise of German cruise passenger numbers - Source: CLIA/DRV
Figures from the German cruise market
Figures from the German cruise market - Source: CLIA/DRV
German cruise compared to international cruise numbers
German cruise compared to international cruise numbers - Source: CLIA/DRV

For the first time in history more than 2 million German people spent 2016 their holidays on board of high sea cruise ships. That is 11.3% more than 2015. The daily average to spend rose between 2,8% and 6%. And since 2016 the average cruiser age is 49.1 year. The cruisers are getting younger! Since long time cruising is no longer restricted to the old and rich.

The prices did rise as the respective few newbuilds could not cover the demand for cruises. The more new ships and their new beds will still not fill demand, and as a result the prises will still rise in 2017 and further on. This is seen in cruise industry as stable factor for the future business.

Northland cruises are on a high, while the demand for the Mediterranean, and dramatically for East Med, is falling. The demand for cruises to the British Isles, North and West Europe, the Baltic Sea rose by 36%. One of the reasons for is the re-routing out of Turkey after the failed cop d´etat in Turkey and the following "special treament" by Reis Erdogan. The demand for the Med did fall from 31.2% in 2015 to 28.3% in 2016, and predictions for 2017 are even less - the East Mediterranean can´t be sold any longer, as travel agencies say.

The average price for a cruise in Germany was 2016 - € 1,670 (2015 - € 1,580) for an average durance of 8,94 nights. The average price for a night onboard did rise to € 187/NPP in 2016 from € 181.86 in 2015. From 2014 to 2015 the price rose by 4.9%. But most loved by the German cruisers are 7 night cruises (49.8%), followed by longer trips from 8 to 13 nights (23.1%).
While the majority of German cruise passengers are booking within the mass market offers, there is a stronger demand for more luxurious offers.

The coming PONANT newbuilds
The coming PONANT newbuilds

The intended 117,000 GT 1,000 pax cruise vessel for CRYSTAL CRUISES
The intended 117,000 GT 1,000 pax cruise vessel for CRYSTAL CRUISES
When new cruise ships are announced or new vessels are launched for their first voyage, it is always fascinating: for the cruise line, which invests a lot in a new building. For the Passengers, who enter the cruise vessel for the first time to the pre-departure or the inauguration for the first time, enjoy this special smell of the new one, sleep as first in an unused bed of a cabin. For the spectators on the bank, who admire the spectacle of a vessel´s baptism.

If an already older cruise ship under a new name is put into service on another cruise line, there are usually sad and happy passengers at the same time: those who will miss the old Vessel and those who have the new, often renovated or even fundamentally reconstructed cruise vessel they hardly can expect.

New vessels to come per year and cruise line

2017
Vessel
Cruise line
Passengers
GRT
Yard
Norwegian Joy / 喜悦号 (Xi Yue Hao) (originally "Norwegian Bliss")
Norwegian Cruise Line
4.266
168.800
Meyer Werft
Majestic Princess /
盛世公主号 (Shèng Shì Gōng Zhǔ Haò)
Princess Cruises
3.560
143.000
Fincantieri
American Constellation
American Cruise Lines
170
Chesapeake Shipbuilding (Salisbury, MD)
Viking Sky
Viking Ocean Cruises
930
47.800
Fincantieri
Silver Muse
Silversea Cruises
596
Fincantieri
AIDAperla
AIDA
3.250
124.100
Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
Pacific Explorer (ex Dawn Princess)
P&O Australia
1.998
77.441
unbekannt
Mein Vessel 6
TUI Cruises
2.500
97.000
STX Finland
MSC Meraviglia
MSC
5.700
167.600
STX France
Columbus (ex Pacific Pearl)
Cruise & Maritime Voyages
1.800
63.786
--
National Geographic Quest
Lindblad Expeditions
100
Nichols Brothers, Washington State, USA
Flying Clipper
Star Clippers
300
8.770
Brodo-Yard, Split
World Dream
Dream Cruises
3.364
150.000
Meyer Werft
Viking Sun
Viking Ocean Cruises
928
47.800
Fincantieri
MSC Seaside (Seaside Class)
MSC
4.140
160.000
Fincantieri



2018
Vessel
Cruise line
Passengers
GRT
Yard
Ventus Australis
Australis
210
Asenav Shipyard, Chile
Carnival Horizon
Carnival Cruise Line
3.954
133.500
Fincantieri
Seabourn Ovation
Seabourn
604
40.350
Fincantieri
MSC Seaview (Seaside Class)
MSC
4.140
160.000
Fincantieri
Norwegian Bliss
Norwegian Cruise Line
4.200
164.600
Meyer Werft
Lindblad Expeditions
100
Nichols Brothers, Washington State, USA
Viking Spirit
Viking Ocean Cruises
930
47.800
Fincantieri
Roald Amundsen
Hurtigruten
530
Kleven, Ulsteinvik (Norwegen)
Scenic Eclipse
Scenic Luxury Cruises & Tours
228
16.500
Uljanik-Yard in Pula, Kroatien
Le Lapérouse (Explorer-Class)
Ponant
180
10.000
Vard, Norwegen
Le Champlain (Explorer-Class)
Ponant
180
10.000
Vard, Norwegen
Helios-Class
AIDA
6.600
183.900
Meyer Werft Papenburg
Celebrity Edge
Celebrity Cruises
2.900
117.000
STX France
Nieuw Statendam
Holland America Line
2.650
99.500
Fincantieri
Symphony of the Seas
Royal Caribbean International
6.780 (Max)
226,963
STX France
Mein Schiff 1 (neu)
TUI Cruises
2.860
Meyer Turku



2019
Vessel
Cruise line
Passengers
GRT
Yard
Hanseatic nature
Hapag-Lloyd Cruises
230
15.540
Vard
MSC Bellissima (Meraviglia Class)
MSC
5.700
167.600
STX France
Hondius
Oceanwide Expeditions
180, max. 196
Brodosplit, Kroatien
Fridtjof Nansen
Hurtigruten
530
Kleven, Ulsteinvik (Norwegen)

Saga Cruises
<1.000
55.900
Meyer Yard Papenburg
(Meraviglia Plus Class)
MSC
max. 6.297
177.100
STX France
(Quantum Class)
Royal Caribbean International
4.100
158.000
Meyer Werft
(Breakaway-Plus-Class)
Norwegian Cruise Line
4.200
164.600
Meyer Werft
Hanseatic inspiration
Hapag-Lloyd Cruises
230
15.540
Vard
Mein Schiff 2 (neu)
TUI Cruises
2.860
Meyer Turku

Costa
6.600
180.000
Meyer Turku

Costa Asia
4.200
135.500
Fincantieri
(Vista Class)
Carnival Cruise Line
4.200
135.500
Fincantieri
(Übernahme der Carnival Splendor)
P&O Australia
3.006
113.562
-
(Royal Class)
Princess Cruises
3.560
143.700
Fincantieri
Le Bougainville (Explorer-Class)
Ponant
180
10.000
Vard
Le Kerguelen (Explorer-Class)
Ponant
180
10.000
Vard
Crystal Endeavor
Crystal Cruises
200
25.000
MV Yarden

Lindblad Expeditions


(Global Class)
Star Cruises
5.000
201.000
MV Yarden



2020
Vessel
Cruise line
Passengers
GRT
Yard
Celebrity Beyond
Celebrity Cruises
2.900
117.000
STX France
(Meraviglia Plus Class)
MSC
max. 6.297
177.100
STX France

Viking Ocean Cruises
930
47.800
Fincantieri

Costa Asia
4.200
135.500
Fincantieri
(Royal Class)
Princess Cruises
3.560
143.700
Fincantieri

Virgin Voyages
2.800
110.000
Fincantieri, Sestri Ponente (Genua)

Regent Seven Seas Cruises
738
54.000
Fincantieri
(Global Class)
Star Cruises
5.000
201.000
MV Yarden
(LNG)
Carnvial Cruise Line
5.200
180.000
Meyer Turku
(LNG)
P&O Cruises
5.200
180.000
Meyer Turku
(Endeavor Class)
Crystal Cruises
200
25.000
MV Yarden



2021
Vessel
Cruise line
Passengers
GRT
Yard
(Oasis Class)
Royal Caribbean International
5.479
225.280
STX France

Saga Cruises
<1.000
55.900
Meyer Werft Papenburg
(Seaside Class)
MSC
5.300
154.000
Fincantieri
(Edge Class)
Celebrity Cruises
2.900
117.000
STX France

Virgin Voyages
2.800
110.000
Fincantieri, Sestri Ponente (Genua)

Disney Cruise Line
2.500
135.000
Meyer Werft Papenburg
(LNG)
AIDA
6.600
180.000
Meyer Werft
(LNG)
Costa
6.600
180.000
Meyer Turku
(Endeavor Class)
Crystal Cruises
200
25.000
MV Yarden
(Pinnacle Class)
Holland America Line
2.660
99.500
Fincantieri, Marghera


2022
Vessel
Cruise line
Passengers
GRT
Yard

Crystal Cruises
1.000
117.000
MV Yarden

Virgin Voyages
2.800
110.000
Fincantieri, Sestri Ponente (Genua)
(World Class)
MSC
5.400
200.000
STX France
(Edge Class)
(Celebrity Cruises)
2.900
117.000
STX France
(LNG)
Carnival Cruise Line
5.200
180.000
Meyer Turku
(Icon Class)
Royal Caribbean International
ca. 5.000
Meyer Turku (Vorvertrag)
(Royal Class)
Princess Cruises
3.660
145.000
Fincantieri, Monfalcone
(unnamed class)
Norwegian Cruise Line
3.300
140.000
Fincantieri

2023
Vessel
Cruise line
Passengers
GRT
Yard

Disney Cruise Line
2.500
135.000
Meyer Werft Papenburg
(unnamed class)
Norwegian Cruise Line
3.300
140.000
Fincanteri

2024
Vessel
Cruise line
Passengers
GRT
Yard
(World Class)
MSC
5.400
200.000
STX France
(Icon Class)
Royal Caribbean International
ca. 5.000
Meyer Turku (Vorvertrag)
(unnamed class)
Norwegian Cruise Line
3.300
140.000
Fincantieri

2025
Vessel
Cruise line
Passengers
GRT
Yard
(World Class)
MSC
5.400
200.000
STX France
(unnamed class)
Norwegian Cruise Line
3.300
140.000
Fincantieri

2026
Vessel
Cruise line
Passengers
GRT
Yard
(World Class)
MSC
5.400
200.000
STX France
  
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